乌俄僵局难解 黄金现货持续徘徊
关键字:现货黄金走势分析
【行情回顾】
周四欧洲盘中,黄金现货价格维持震荡下挫走势,而日线四连阴后,黄金日内再度受到昨日失守的年线压制,短期内上行压力相当明显,因此黄金只能选择低位徘徊震荡,而在缺乏基本面和技术面的支撑下,现货黄金短期内难以向上突破。
【基本面分析】
俄罗斯指责试图利用乌克兰危机用毫无根据的含沙射影和反俄罗斯言论来影响国际舆论,而美国白宫则表明俄罗斯似乎即将为乌克兰分裂主义分子提供火箭系统。在该消息后金价出现小幅上扬
西方七国集团(G7)领导人最新发布了联合公报,再度对俄罗斯予以了谴责。此前,G7已经宣布暂停与俄罗斯在各方面的合作事宜,这意味着由西方七国加上俄罗斯组成的G8组织已经不复存在。G7在公报中对俄罗斯非法“窃取”原属于乌克兰的克里米亚半岛领土一事予以了再度斥责,并对俄方此后持续采取的危害乌克兰东部地区局势安定状况的行径感到“遗憾”,称俄罗斯的行动完全无法令人接受,并违反了国际法的准则。由于此举有可能彻底激怒俄罗斯,从而引发市场上的避险需求,这将会对金价构成一定的支撑。
【技术分析】
黄金日内呈现弱势下跌行情。日K线目前运行于布林带中轨下方,有向下测试下轨的可能,布林带开口有所放大,中轨方向持续走低,而日K线目前呈现震荡下跌行情。4小时图目前则受到中轨压制,并在在下轨位置盘整,短期内行情仍难有重大突破,因此近期仍然以适当逢高做空为主。
日内支撑位:1295 1293 1288
日内压力位:1298 1300 1310
由于俄罗斯和欧美国家问题陷入僵局当中,而最新的七国集团发表的联合公布也意味着俄罗斯已经基本和G8无缘,这对于俄罗斯来讲将会在国际舞台上构成较大的影响,而基于市场的避险需求,黄金在连续下跌后,可能会出现小幅反弹,但是这种反弹必不持久,建议投资者适当逢高做空,建议进场位置1298,盈利目标1292,止损4美金。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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