市场即将风起云涌 现货黄金走势何去何从
关键字：现货黄金分析
【行情回顾】
周三欧洲盘中，现货黄金价格再次跌至1300美元下方，不过总体波幅不大，市场在几大关键风险事件前，浓厚的市场观望气氛抑制了贵金属价格的波动范围。北京时间周四凌晨2点将公布美联储利率决议，在决议公布前将公布美国第二季度GDP，而黄金价格仍将维持窄幅震荡。
【基本面分析】
在关键事件风险前，美元指数隔夜全盘走强，导致金价冲高回落并收跌。现货白银价格也录得一根实体很小的十字星，表明市场方向不明朗。市场普遍预计美联储可能继续削减QE规模，由于没有新闻发布会，决议后的声明值得关注，任何措辞的改变都将影响贵金属市场。另外，市场对非农就业数据也持乐观立场，这将令美元保持坚挺，金价则面临进一步下行风险。
而在今晚的风险事件出炉之前，全球黄金基金持仓维持不变，基金投资者对黄金未来走势反向存在分歧。截至7月28日全球最大的黄金上市交易基金SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量与前一个交易日相比持平于801.84 吨；全球最大的白银上市交易基金的白银持仓量与前一个交易日相比保持在10014.63 吨，市场观望气氛仍然相当浓厚。
【技术分析】
由日内金价走势上看，黄金在日K线上走势可谓压力重重，虽然昨晚最高刷新日内高点1312位置，但是并未能顺利站稳，而最终收出一条带长上下影线的阴线，说明黄金短期内仍然未能摆脱上行压力位置的压制。而日内黄金走势也较为微妙，在美国GDP等重磅数据正式出炉前，建议投资者先行观望。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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