现货黄金亚市早盘回调 反弹力度较弱
关键字:本日亚盘现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
本日亚洲时段,国际现货黄金价格出现日内第一波回调走势,随后收复跌幅,因本日日本海洋节休市,亚洲盘面交投量受到抑制,金价于1310-1313窄幅交投,由于日内并没有对金市较为重要的经济报告出炉,少量技术性买盘的加入,促使金价在欧盘时段前弱势反弹,亚盘尾段时段,国际金价录得涨幅不足1美元。
【基本面分析】
关注以巴两国格局的最新进展,昨日,联合国秘书长潘基文要求以巴两国立刻停火,当地时间7月20日被国际誉为“血腥星期天”,因20日当天,是以巴双方国家居民伤亡人数最多的日子,巴勒斯坦方面称当天至少有99人丧生,数百人受伤,其中大部分为妇女和儿童;以色列方面称13名以军士兵当天在针对加沙的地面攻击中死亡。联合国秘书长潘基文指出,以巴两国交火冲突的升级,有太多的妇女和儿童无辜受难,导致两国平民终日活在惶惶不可终日的恐慌当中,他强调,以色列必须保持最大限度地克制,全力保护平民。由于联合国的和平导向价值的渗入,对以巴两国的战火相交事件起到一定的缓和作用,黄金等避险资产将面临下调修正的压力。
据巴克莱银行报告中指,印度黄金的走私活动依然照旧,因新印度总统在黄金进口关税上的比例上继续保持较高的10%,以抑制印度的经常帐赤字,而印度人民对实物黄金的需求量依旧存在较大的缺口,导致印度黄金走私事件屡禁不止,有报道指出印度政府正在委派税收情报局在拣选的机场内调查黄金进口的走私活动,印度黄金的进口关税调整,可能在印度经常帐赤字有明显好转之前,才会适当下调额度。另外一般每年下半年是印度踏入婚庆等节日的黄金消费旺日,印度人民对实物金的需求逐渐递增,国际金价从中期来看将是利好。
【技术分析】
从日线图上看,继上周五金价K线开出带上下影线的阴烛以后,本日暂时开出下影线略长的阳线,反映上方的阻力较强,而下方则继续获得5日、60日和100日均线的有效支撑,上方受20日均线和布林下轨的压制,布林轨道开口向上运行转为走平并收窄,反映将进入弱势调整的伦敦金行情,KDJ三线在超卖区上方附近徘徊。小时图中,金价K线呈上行走势,均线系统持多头排列,而附图指标MACD则持钝化整理,KDJ出现明显超买,短时内将出现下行调整。本日关键支撑位1300,1306,1310,关键阻力位1319,1326,1331。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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