现货黄金窄幅交投 下方筑底力度较强
关键字：本日亚盘现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
本日亚洲时段，国际现货黄金以窄幅交投为主，日内波幅不超6美元，因昨日的伦敦金走势极大地释放了空头的进场动力，同时多头的获利离场，导致本日早盘时段交投十分清淡，市场在谨慎地等待为期两天耶伦发表关于今年上半年货币政策的成果，预计耶伦的发言态度将对投资者情绪产生影响。
【基本面分析】
根据彭博社调查发现，57位经济学家对中国第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)的预估中值为同比增长7.4%，今年第一季度同比增幅为7.4%。同时通过采访国际知名投行分析人士发现，中国房产市场价格的下滑，被视为中国经济出现明显下行的关键。预计中国经历4月和5月的平缓过渡期后，到了6月会有改善，与此同时，中国的货币政策将继续以微观的刺激性调控为主，企业融资成本将继续降低。之前著名投行野村证券也上调了中国第二季度的GDP增速预期，认为中国二季度GDP的增速从一季度的7.4%上调至7.5%，由于行内人士对中国经济的平稳增长具有足够的信心，数据将提振中国的实物黄金消费需求，同时提振澳元，因澳洲作为中国进行铁矿石等原材料进口中最大的出口国，澳元对美元将获得上行动力。
据世界黄金协会报告显示，今年7月份各国官方黄金储备排名榜中，中国以1054公吨位列第7，占国家总储备的1.1%，印度以558公吨排在11位，占国家总储备的7.1%。排在首位的美国，黄金储备高达8134公吨，占国家总储备的71%。但中印两国的黄金购买能力则远远高于美国，美国则一直保持较高额的黄金储备，以稳定币值及其量化宽松政策的实施，“去美元化”的道路对于全球性大宗商品来说还相当漫长。
【技术分析】
从日线图上看，金价K线下方得到100日均线的筑底性支撑，而附图指标MACD和KDJ则持续发出看空信号，5日均线出现拐点下行，布林轨道在开口向上收缩后，本日金价的下跌空间或受到限制。从小时图上看，5日和10日均线粘合形成金叉，而MACD红烛在快慢线于0轴下方形成金叉有所增长，同时KDJ指标再次向上运行至超买区附近。整体来看，金价下方的多头上攻力度仍然存在。本日关键支撑位1303，1308，关键阻力位1310,1318。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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