天量空单砸盘 现货黄金惨遭杀跌
关键字:现货黄金行分析
【行情回顾】
回顾周一晚间行情,黄金现货价格在缺乏消息面指引的情况下,空头暴起发难,导致现货黄金价格在欧洲时段出现了一波跳水,而在纽约时段盘初进一步扩大跌幅逾2.5%,刷新1302.90美元的近一个月低位,并录得8个月来最大日跌幅,由于盘面出现天量卖单,黄金价格在获利盘出逃和止损卖盘同时触发的情况下,日内最终只能险险守住1300关口。
【基本面分析】
国际现货黄金刷新1302.90美元的近一个月低位,并录得8个月来最大日跌幅,因纽市开盘期金市场出现13.7亿美元的大额卖单。此外,日内由于地缘政治风险逐步稳定,刺激风险资产飙升,同时近期CFTC多头头寸达到2013年1月22日来最高水平,导致黄金市场遭遇获利了结浪潮。
事实上,早在亚洲时段金价就因为股市上扬而大幅跳水,时段末已经跌至1315美元附近,为近两个月来最大日跌幅。周一由于葡萄牙银行业危机影响被市场所消化,加上葡萄牙政府出面安抚市场,并表示葡萄牙银行也状况良好,使市场的情绪趋向稳定。而且一些地缘政治风险,如乌克兰和伊拉克均出现稳定迹象,导致多数风险资产持续走强迹象,而导致避险需求下降,以黄金为首的避险品种均出现不同程度的下降。
【技术分析】
由于昨日黄金出现的巨大跌幅,直接击穿多个技术支撑位,诸如1330,1317等重要技术支撑均先后宣告失守,而且均线系统也惨遭破坏,黄金的突破性走势也被昨日出现的大阴线所完全吞没,再度回落到稍早之前的箱体整理区间当中,短期内的走势仍不能盲目乐观。
日内支撑位:1305 1300 1296
日内压力位:1310 1316 1320
昨日黄金出现的日内大跌,均相当之出乎人的意料之外,由于昨天并没有重要数据公布,在基本面上缺乏方向性指引,虽然市场情况对黄金稍有不利,但导致黄金出现大跌的主要是空头在市场上高达13.7亿美元的巨大空单,使黄金多头被杀了个措手不及,而在日内出现急跌的情况下,加上下方就是周均线级别的支撑位置,预计今天黄金再度出现下跌的可能性不大,因此我们建议炒金的投资者逢低做多,建议进场位置1305,盈利目标1312,止损6美金。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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