避险需求大减 现货黄金回吐涨幅
关键字：本日亚盘现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
本日亚洲时段，国际现货黄金价格呈现单边下滑趋势，因伦敦金行情回归正常的回调，另外市场风险偏好情绪有所增加，对避险资产价格构成打压，与此同时触及多头的黄金止损买盘，导致黄金多头数量锐减，金价拉大跌幅，回吐了上周四以来的涨势，亚洲尾盘时段录得新低，欧盘时段前，黄金现货价格跌幅超过1%。
【基本面分析】
本日亚盘公布了日本的一系列经济数据，日本5月工业生产月率终值为0.7%，好于预期的0.5%；产能利用率月率为-0.7%，好于预期的-2.2%；库存月率终值上涨3%，好于预期的2.9%；工业生产年率为1%，好于预期的0.8%。数据提振了亚洲市场的风险偏好情绪，日经指数获得提振，亚股小幅上涨，黄金等避险资产则面临大幅抛售，亚市尾盘录得新低1317.55美元/盎司，主要受亚股走强打压。
近日国际金价的反弹因素主要是中东地区的地缘政治危机、美国宽松的货币政策、全球通胀出现升高。而美国通胀水平则出现显著上扬。而一旦美国二季度经济在一季度走过“暴风雨侵袭”疲软期后，出现明显回暖迹象，市场同时在避险事件没有进一步恶化的情况下，将大大降低避险需求，国际金价将缺失根本性的上行动力：其中，实体经济的经济增速将给予投资者更多风险资产上的选择，另外美国长期公债收益率仍处于历史性低位的上方，经济人士预期近段时间下行的可能性不大，在国际金价与美国公债收益率呈负相关关系的情况下，国际金价或难以打开上行空间。
【技术分析】
从日线图上看，国际金价本日开出较长阴线，有效地向下突破5日均线，日内最低价位于20日均线附近，布林轨道开口继续向上整理，附图指标MACD快慢线粘合或形成死叉，KDJ指标从超买区位置冲高回落，拐点继续向下整理。从小时图上看，均线系统持空头排列，附图指标MACD与盘面走势一致，发出看空信号，KDJ指标在金价经历短时下行后，在超卖区位置运行。本日大田贵金属建议投资者可在低点适当进场做多，长线则持有并观望。本日关键支撑位1315,1308，关键阻力位1328,1334。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.