市场情绪复杂 现货黄金弱势运行
关键字：本日亚盘现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
本日亚盘时段，国际现货黄金为窄幅整理格局，由于日内市场对消息面反应较为平淡，亚盘中段后，金价呈现弱势的上行格局，另外市场在夜间纽盘时段公布的重要美国经济数据前普遍持有观望态度，市场情绪偏向复杂，金市交投热情一度冷却，在亚市尾盘时段，金价录得每盎司1318.61美元，较开盘时刻上涨3.49。
【基本面分析】
据中国黄金网调查显示，上金所接受调查的61位黄金注册分析师中，看平和看空本日黄金价格的人数均超过了40%，反映主流观点尚不明确，看平和看空者均占接近50%，其中有7人看涨(10.3%)，29人看跌(42.6%)，32人中立(47.1%)。由于上周公布的非农数据向好，高盛投行的首席经济学家提前了美联储的加息日程，认为美国的通胀水平在未来数月会出现惊人的上涨，在美元走势出现转机的情况下，黄金或再次被机构看空，另外由于避险事件的扑朔迷离，市场的风险偏好情绪一定程度受到削弱，在对伊拉克局势仍存疑虑的谨慎心理下，金价尚有一定的上行空间。
本日德国公布了5月的进出口月率，经季调后的德国5月进出口月率均逊于前期，出口月率值为-1.1%，前值为2.9%，进口月率值为-3.4%，前值为0.2%，差于市场预期的德国5月进出口数据，将强化欧央行实施量化宽松政策的预期，对于欧央行未来是否实施资产购买计划，欧元区各官员意见不一，其中鹰派决策者认为欧央行不须急于实行量化宽松，而欧央行执委科尔及法国央行行长诺亚则强调欧洲央行将长期保持利率低位，这将使欧元走势不明朗，就低利率实施的时间长度而言，欧元区仅是刚刚开始，长远来看将利好美元走势，以美元计价的黄金则面临被抛售困境。
【技术分析】
从日线图上看，国际金价于上周开出阴线十字星的弱势行情后，本日走势依旧面临较大的上行风险，附图指标MACD快慢线相交有望形成死叉，从主盘面上看，金价下方的布林中轨和5日均线共同形成金价的窄幅运行区域，短期金价走势或以弱势运行持续，而从长周期周K线上看，KDJ指标和MACD均发出看多信号，大田贵金属建议投资者本日持有并观望，若金价于夜间在消息面的推动下向上突破5日均线1320，则可顺势做多，止损6美元。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.