市场观点不一 现货黄金持稳盘整
关键词：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
在亚盘时段，现货黄金交易较为清淡在1319一线徘徊且一度接近昨日收盘位置。回顾昨晚，黄金在非农数据及欧元区利率决议影响下一度跌至1309随后回升收至1320，由此看来黄金的下方支撑位依然坚挺，预计短期内将维持1310上方盘整不变。
【基本面分析】
由于今天是美国独立日，数据方面无太大情况可看。而本轮超级周的行情显然也已临近尾声。行情料将较为冷清。今天的黄金市场作为昨晚数据公布后的消化时间，市场除了一方面进一步消化隔夜两大风险事件的影响外，应该展望下周黄金的行情能否有进一步的转机。
据著名调查机构Kitco指出，市场人士对下周国际金价走势出现分歧，并未形成主流意见，其中看涨及看跌人数相近。在接受调查的37个市场人士中，18人本周做出了回应，其中7人看涨，8人看跌，3人中立。看涨人士称，尽管周四公布的美国6月非农远好于预期，令金价一度下探1310美元，但目前仍旧企稳在1305美元上方，展现出良好的抗跌韧性。而看跌人士则称，美国6月非农强劲意味着经济复苏向好，并推升美联储提前升息的预期，利空黄金。从意见不一的调查中我们可以看到，对于黄金下周的走势大多数分析师还是各持观点，虽然美国已经率先进入经济正向传导的周期之内，但是欧洲仍然受困于通缩的泥沼。全球两大主要经济体的差异性令黄金市场进退维谷，目前这种高位震荡的走势还有可能会持续一段时间。
【技术分析】
由黄金的日线图看来，昨日黄金收出一条下影线较长的阴线，金价在试探1310下方后反弹最终在回调后收于1320，所以今天日间黄金的走势在平稳中维持较小幅度的盘整。KDJ指标在交叉后转向下方运行，MA10均线在1310中企稳，从近期高点来看1332已形成强压力位；在上有阻力下有支撑的情况下建议投资者可在1314进场，盈利目标1322，止损5美元。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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