伊拉克战乱持续 现货黄金仍有机会
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周三亚洲时段，现货黄金价格震荡走低，跌破近期的盘整位置1315，矛头直指1310一线，由于有消息指出，美军将于本周内进驻伊拉克首都巴格达，市场的避险意识有所下降，导致黄金价格有所下跌。
【基本面分析】
据外媒报道，美国国防部24日表示，大约300名美国军事顾问和特别行动部队将被派遣到伊拉克，其中一半人员已经抵达伊拉克首都巴格达并已开始评估与极端组织“伊拉克和黎凡特伊斯兰国”斗争的伊拉克军队。在巴格达已有大约360名美军相关人员到达大使馆以确保安全，未来将达到560人。
在国会山的美国参议员们表示，希望伊拉克尽快成立新政府，哪怕是在下周。从而协助美国军队对“伊拉克和黎凡特伊斯兰国”取的军事行动。美国海军少将约翰·柯比在五角大楼透露，巴格达的部队包括两队特种部队和约90名军事顾问、情报分析员、突击队员。并需要在伊拉克首都建立一个联合行动中心。另外四队特种部队将于未来几天到达。由于美国部队开始介入伊拉克局势当中，市场预期这有助于伊拉克局势迅速平息，市场的避险意识有所下降，引发亚市早盘黄金市场出现抛压。
【技术分析】
根据我们对金价走势分析所得，从黄金4小时图上看，均线系统的上涨趋势有开始放缓迹象。而MACD指标的则仍在超买区域附近震荡，红柱动能有所萎缩。而RSI指标在80线下方运行，短期内的方向指引尚不明确。整体来看，黄金价格仍然维持在高位震荡整理，但是仍然缺乏决定性的利好刺激，而日后需关注前期高点附近的压力位置对黄金构成的影响。
日内支撑位：1310 1305 1300
日内压力位：1316 1325 1330
由于今日早盘黄金仍以震荡走低为主，而且近期黄金屡次上攻前期高点失败，短期内黄金很可能会出现一定幅度的技术性调整，因此黄金很可能会再度考验1305这一周线级别的支撑线，因此我们建议投资者，若日内黄金下破1310位置，则可以适当进场布局空单，盈利目标1305，止损4美金。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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