上行压力仍存 现货黄金承压下挫
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周五欧市盘中,国际现货黄金价格小幅回落至1310美元/盎司附近,黄金市场大涨接近50美元。相比昨日的1281位置，单日涨幅率高达3%。而在经过连续多日上涨之后，黄金多头的力量也出现了较大消耗，因此短期内的技术性回调将无法避免。
【基本面分析】
从美国方面的数据来看，昨日公布的上周初清失业金人数比预期值偏低，前值261.4万，预期值260万，最后公布的数据为256.1万，但对金价来说似乎没有太大的影响。主要影响金价的因素还是回归国际政治方面。
伊拉克局势仍然是黄金市场的一大支撑。伊拉克政府请求美国空袭反政府武装，武装分子对伊拉克北部的控制将会影响全球原油供应，这将提振市场的避险意识，黄金也因此而出现大涨。美国银行(Bank of America)在近期的一份研究报告中认为，伊拉克局势的因素已经被体现在了黄金市场中，如果武装分子占领巴格达或者进一步占领南部，那么金价会再被推高，但该银行认为这两种情况都不太可能发生。因此，以长线发展来看，金价想要持续走高的可能并不大，在短期之内甚至有可能再度回落至1300下方位置。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，现货黄金昨天的大阳线突破1290高位，转而挑30日均线位1335，但由于黄金受到的数据支持不大，加上上行空间阻力较大，因此结合来看，预计日内最多小幅上升1330左右，如果无法突破有可能变为下调。建议投资者今日在技术调整后再入单，做多位置在1316，盈利目标1327，止损6美金。而做空的投资者须在黄金的黄金价格调整之后方可进场，建议做空位置1294，止损4美金。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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