南非再陷罢工僵局 现货黄金上涨
关键字：现货黄金行情走势
【行情回顾】
由于近日黄金市场缺乏消息面的指引，左右金价走势的主要以技术因素为主。而昨日早盘伦敦金均以震荡盘整的方式蓄势，最终在纽约时段一举上攻1260压力位置，并顺利收于1260位置上方，为近期的反弹创造良好的条件。
【基本面分析】
根据外国媒体最新消息，南非最大的矿工工会南非矿工和建筑工会9日宣布，与该国几大铂金生产商长达五个月、关于提高工人待遇以尽快结束大规模罢工的谈判暂时以失败结束，各方未能达成任何协议。
由于市场担忧南非铂金矿罢工停产活动将大幅升级，导致全球铂金产量下降，继9日收涨1%后，纽约铂金期货价格10日盘中继续上涨，截至北京时间10日19时，其上涨0.96%至每盎司1468.2美元。业内人士预计，在该谈判举步维艰的背景下，铂金产量短期可能下降，其价格或持续走高。
业内人士指出，南非是全世界最重要的铂金生产国家之一，其三大铂金巨头所处的南非铂金带在全球铂金产出中所占比重高达七成。而这场为期五个月之久的罢工，使得其中占全球铂金产量约四成的南非矿场停工，并损及南非经济产出，导致该国今年第一季度出现经济负增长。在谈判前景依然不乐观的情况下，南非铂金产量可能锐减，并影响全球供应。虽然黄金近期由于美国削减QE规模，导致价格出现了下滑，但是同样作为黄金类贵金属的钯金和铂金近期创出新高，有望为黄金带来利好刺激。
【技术分析】
由近期黄金走势上看，黄金在触及1240低位之后，出现了稳步的反弹，而在技术上出现了明显的圆弧底形态，因此短期内黄金的反弹态势依旧基本确立。我们大田贵金属认为短期内的最大阻力位置则位于1270，该位置为均线和布林线的强阻力共振区域，因此黄金多头将会在此受到较大考验，这也考验了本次黄金反弹的成色。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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