乌克兰大选或成现货黄金突破契机
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前，现货黄金略微上涨至1294一线附近交投，总体走势仍然是以震荡盘整为主。而本周以来，金价每日涨跌幅均不超过4美元，震荡区间日益缩小，虽然本周也有较多的重磅事件和经济数据，例如美联储会议纪要，初请失业金数据等，但是黄金依旧窄幅震荡，也未能作出方向性选择，而周末乌克兰大选或许是黄金突破的其中一个契机。
【基本面分析】
虽然乌克兰大选日益逼近，但是该国再度发生流血冲突，而骚乱也在持续。昨日亲俄武装分子与乌克兰安保人员在工业重镇顿涅茨克发生冲突，分裂分子攻击了一处军事检查站，造成至少8名安保人员身亡，18人受伤。卢甘斯克也发生了流血冲突，造成1名乌克兰士兵身亡，2人受伤。这两个地区此前举行了独立公投，所以此次参加乌克兰大选的可能性不大。而俄罗斯方面也曾表示，如果一些地区拒绝参加大选，乌克兰大选的合法性将受到质疑。美国副总统拜登昨日也发话称，若俄方干扰本周日的大选，无疑会受到更严厉的制裁。
而据俄罗斯媒体报道，俄罗斯外交部副部长梅什科夫称，俄罗斯将在5月25日乌克兰总统选举投票后，再决定是否承认其结果。梅什科夫称，俄罗斯将会等到选举开始后再做决定。他表示，当俄罗斯方面考虑合法性问题的时候，会将所有因素考虑在内。
【技术分析】
根据我们对现货黄金行情分析所得，昨日金价冲高回落，当前在三角形中部区域整理，且近几日来收录的K线均显示上涨动能不足，而1305区域的阻力明显，而短期支撑位置则在1285一线位置。由小时图上看，金价强势拉升，但1300关口上方阻力强大。整体来看，今日金价仍难以突破三角形震荡区间，只能继续受阻于1300整数关口，建议在该档下方逢高做空，及时结利，并静待周末的乌克兰大选结果，再行决定重点持仓方向
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1290 止盈1299 止损1281
做空：开仓1287 止盈1280 止损1296
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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