现货黄金持稳 上行或面临阻力区考验
关键字：本日国际现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
本日亚市早盘，国际现货黄金稳持1300美元/盎司上方，上周五乌俄紧张局势盖过了非农就业数据发布的强势风头，多方成功逆袭，当日内从最低点1273跃升超20美元，最高点录得1314，受上周末乌克兰危机进一步加剧，本日亚市国际金价继续上涨，暂时最高位置录得1309美元，日内涨幅超8美元。
【基本面分析】
本周市场焦点在欧洲央行决议上，因预期通胀或触底反弹，因而市场对欧洲央行退出QE举措的预期变得谨慎，欧元并未承压。市场预期欧央行将维持再融资利率及存款利率不变。
英国Markit/CIPS 4月制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）升至57.3，创11月以来最高位。3月数据从55.3上修为55.8。数据显示英国第一季国内生产总值（GDP）季率增长0.8%，增幅高于去年4季度的0.7%，同比增长3.1%。英央行前瞻指引称，在失业率降至7%以及经济闲置产能减少之前，该行将维持当前货币政策不变。欧元区经济出现的经济复苏使欧央行维持货币政策稳定性。
美联储主席耶伦将于本周三在联合经济委员会就经济前景做证词，在4月强劲非农数据过後，市场将更加关注耶伦会否透露更多提前加息的线索。
美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）周末发布的报告显示，截止至2014年4月29日，投机者持有的黄金期货净多头增加3.394手，至净多头85,277手，为连续第二周增加，显示已对冲基金为主的投机者看多黄金情绪有所升温，因近期乌克兰局势风云变幻，避险情绪得到刺激。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价将于1311.56美元/盎司水平持稳，下方受5日均线1296支撑，上方受多重均线压制，初步阻力关注50日均线1316.26，进一步关注前高以及保利加通道上轨1325-1332区域。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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