5.2国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014）
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
昨日现货黄金再度收跌。隔日金价早间开盘于1290.93美元/盎司，亚盘时段，最高至1292.59美元/盎司，后逐步回落至1290美元/盎司下方震荡。欧洲时段盘初，金价下挫至1280美元/盎司附近，随后小幅反弹至1286.76美元/盎司，时段末再度扩大跌幅，并刷新日内新低至1277.09美元/盎司。纽约时段，现货黄金小幅反弹至1285美元附近企稳，最终收盘于1283.84美元/盎司。
【基本面分析】
昨晚公布的经济数据显示，上周美国初请失业金人数增加1.4万人，至34.4万人，创下9周高点。3月份美国消费者支出环比增长0.9%，超出经济学家预期；但个人收入环比增长0.5%，符合预期。表现良好的经济数据倾向于导致金价承压，反之亦然。同时，市场还在关注 定于本周五公布的美国劳工部非农就业报告。投资公司BullionVault分析师阿德里安-艾什指出，尽管初请失业金人数增长，但消费者支出好于华尔街经济学家预期，因此贵金属市场交易商预计非农就业报告将表现强劲。
此外，交易商还在消化美联储的货币政策决定，该行昨日决定将其资产购买规模再度削减100亿美元，至每个月450亿美元，符合市场预期。在这一决定公布后，纽约期金价格在周三收盘后的电子盘交易中有所下跌。GoldForecaster.com网站的朱利安-菲利普斯指出，美联储还重申将在很长一段时间以后才会加息；严寒的冬季天气过后，美国经济很可能有所回升，但冬季经济增长率处于极低水平，因此仍应持谨慎态度。
【技术分析】
从日线图来看，本周连续四日收跌，已跌破120均线下方，MA均线依旧横盘于布林中轨下方附近，MA5下穿MA10金叉衰退，但勾头有明显向下运行迹象，布林走平，附图指标MACD能量衰退，红色动能消耗殆尽，DEA、DIF于0轴下方粘合走平，KDJ、RSI聚合后，勾头均向下发散运行，综合来看，金价维持于下降通道之中窄幅整理，各指标也处于修复之中。上方应重点关注1288/1290/1300阻力，下方应重点关注1278/1275/1270支撑。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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