机构倒向空头 黄金现货走低
关键字:黄金现货行情
【行情回顾】
由于今日开始中国进入五一假期,亚盘交投相当清淡,但由于昨晚黄金走势疲软,今早现货黄金走势仍然出现惯性向下。早盘黄金交投于1290一线,虽然昨晚美国公布的数据颇为重要,但仍未能为黄金等大宗商品指引出明确的走势。
【基本面分析】
据SPDR官网公布数据显示,截至周三(4月30日),最大的黄金ETF基金持仓进一步下降0.5%,至787.94吨。该数据也创下了2009年一月以来的最低水平。今年迄今,SPDR黄金ETF已经全部抹去1季度的增持,并且目前为减持1.2%。在2013年,该基金累计减持41%。
虽然截至昨日之前,SPDR黄金基金持续6天没有出现增持或者减持,观望气氛相当浓厚,市场预期机构正以不变应万变的策略来对待超级周。但是,由于联储都美国经济复苏预期相当乐观,机构的态度也开始出现了转变。虽然乌克兰乱局暂时还没有解决的迹象,但无可否认的是,黄金的避险需求正进一步出现下滑。
【技术分析】
黄金昨日晚间呈宽幅震荡走势,从4小时的图上来看,均线系统的排列没有明确的方向出现。MACD指标的快慢线在0轴附近运行,绿色动能柱变化不大。RSI指标在50线下方运行,短期内有轻微的向下指示。整体来看,黄金的下跌走势仍未出现改变的明显迹象,但下跌的节奏尚不明显。我们大田金业认为日后仍需关注下方1240附近的支撑力度,日内关注1285-1287一线的均线支撑。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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