联储乐观预期打压现货黄金
关键字；现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
国际金价4月30日收盘再度下跌，之前美联储宣布将月度购债规模再次缩减100亿美元，彰显其对美国经济前景的信心，令原本预计美联储将放慢缩减购债步伐的投资者失望。而市场对黄金的对冲需求也随之进一步走低。由于今日开始中国进入五一假期，亚盘交投相当清淡，但由于昨晚黄金走势疲软，今早现货黄金走势仍然出现惯性向下。
【基本面分析】
美联储在结束为期两天的政策会议后表示，美国经济“将以温和步伐扩张，就业市场状况将继续逐步改善”，这与上月政策声明中的措辞基本一致，对市场的整体影响有限，但其对未来经济前景所透露的乐观预期仍小幅打压金价。
美联储在政策声明中再度决定将月度购债规模缩小100亿美元，从550亿美元缩减至450亿美元，这与市场广泛预期一致，如果保持当前的缩减步幅，美联储最快将在今年10月结束购债计划。而美联储决策层在决定上述措施时也以全面多数通过。
由于最新的美联储政策声明没有意外，使金市投资者感到沮丧。一些黄金投资者原本希望美联储因经济的不确定性放慢缩减刺激计划的步伐。
【技术分析】
虽然昨天晚上两大重磅数据出炉，但是金价仍未能得到较强的方向性，虽然联储的乐观预期和QE的持续缩减打压了黄金价格，但无可否认的是，美国的经济复苏速度仍然低于预期，因此金价在低位受到一定的支撑。根据我们对伦敦金技术分析，由日K线图上看，黄金早盘短暂失守1290支撑位，并受压于5日均线之下，下方90日均线支撑明显，布林线有相当明显的收口迹象，预示黄金将再度面临方向性选择，估计今天黄金在美盘前将以低位盘整为主，投资者可以适当顺势做空。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1283一线 止盈1291 止损1274
做空：开仓1295一线 止盈1287 止损1301
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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