中国GDP预期好转 现货黄金持稳
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
由于上周乌克兰局势持续发酵，国际现货黄金价格受到避险买盘提振，一度修复1300美元整数关口，之后徘徊在1300关口之上做出整固态势。而今早亚盘时段，黄金交投也相当清淡，并没有明显的激烈走势，午后黄金价格小幅走软至1303美元，尚未能突破1305压力位置的压制。
【基本面分析】
虽然近日黄金价格尚未有太大起伏，不过IMF最新发布的一份报告，或许能为黄金投资者提供一定的提示。国际货币基金组织(IMF)发布最新《亚太地区经济展望》报告，亚洲地区总体增长势头强劲，将维持低通胀水平，但区域内外挑战仍在。报告上调中国今明两年经济增速，称中国经济对区域经济影响力正在增大。同时值得注意的是，中国不仅为全球化生产线环节，同时也是最终消费环节。最终需求消费的扩大，使中国对亚洲其他国家的直接影响大过从前。报告研究也显示。如果中国经济增幅减速剧烈，韩国、马来西亚、泰国、台湾和香港地区等将首当其冲感受到“溢出效应”。
而且报告上调了中国今明两年经济增速分别至7.5%和7.3%。较去年10月报告，上调增幅均达0.3%。总体而言，亚洲地区今年GDP增速将达到5.4%，2015年增速将为5.5%，均较2013年有所进步。由于市场普遍担心中国经济放缓将会影响中国消费者对黄金的购买力，因此中国GDP上调将会利好黄金。
【技术分析】
由日K线图上看，黄金已经顺利修复1300美元整数关口，黄金在完成W型底的同时，也完成了单针探底的技术形态，因此黄金短期内下方支撑可谓相当强大。而短期内，我们大田金业认为，黄金要面对的压力主要位于1305一线，由于1305压力位置和30日均线重合，所以预计在美盘活跃时间前，黄金将会在1305前休整。晚间公布的美国经济数据将会指引黄金的方向。
【操作策略】
做多：开仓1301 止盈1315 止损1295
做空：开仓1310 止盈1298 止损1318
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.