避险需求提振 现货黄金反弹
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
由于上周乌克兰乱局再起，避险资金纷纷涌入黄金等避险品种当中，黄金顺利修复1300美元关口。而今早亚盘时段，由于现货黄金行情交投较为清淡，现货黄金价格徘徊于1305一线位置，尚未有往上突破的迹象。预计今天黄金依然受到乌克兰局势影响，若乌克兰乱局持续，则黄金依然有继续上涨的动力。
【基本面分析】
乌克兰东部危机仍在恶化。目前俄罗斯军队在俄乌边境地区的军演还在持续。有消息称，俄罗斯在这一地区集结了大约4万名士兵。而针对俄罗斯不断展示“军事肌肉”的强硬态度，七国集团也计划对俄罗斯施加新的制裁。
25日，支持联邦化的亲俄民兵组织在斯拉维扬斯克市郊区拦截并扣留了一辆载有欧安组织观察员和乌军方人士的汽车引发各方关注。据被扣留的一名欧安组织观察员、来自德国的施奈德尔27日在新闻发布会上透露，这些被扣留人员的安全情况尚好。
而另一方面，朝鲜问题依然复杂。最近朝鲜第四次核试验风声又起，对此韩国总统朴槿惠在记者会上表示，奥巴马和她本人将进一步加强合作体系，全力遏制朝鲜发起挑衅。如果朝鲜进行第四次核试验，那么将从根本上动摇东北亚的安保态势，而六方会谈也很有可能“化为泡影”。朴槿惠再次表示，在目前的紧迫情况下，期待中国能采取强烈措施制止朝鲜的行动(核试验)。朴槿惠还宣布，26日将与奥巴马一起视察韩美联合司令部，以直接确认韩美同盟的遏制力。
【技术分析】
由近期黄金的走势上看，多头上攻的意欲还显得非常强烈，日线走势上，已经连续三天都收阳线，这也是表明市场上看好黄金的上涨走势，本周的操作思路依然是以逢低做多为主，日内可以选择在1299-1301一带入场做多，止损在1297，止盈1315。1315位置也是斐波那契回调线38.2%的位置，投资者需要重点关注。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1301 止盈1315 止损1295
做空：开仓1310 止盈1298 止损1318
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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