4.28国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
关键字:4.28国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
【行情回顾】
4月25日欧洲时段,ICE美元指数小幅下跌,贵金属进一步反弹修正,黄金价格重返1300上方,过去两个交易日上涨幅度超过30美元,因乌克兰暴力冲突提振黄金的避险吸引力,另外避险情绪使全球金融市场的资金从股汇债市往金市转移。
【基本面分析】
4月25日公布的数据显示,美国4月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值由82.6上修为84.1,创2013年7月份以来最高,因消费者对经济现况和近期预期乐观程度上升。4月现况指数终值上修为98.7,预期指数终值上修为74.7。
美国白宫周五(4月25日)发表声明称,美国总统奥巴马(Barack Obama)与欧盟四大盟国(英国、德国、法国、意大利)一致同意,俄罗斯未能履行乌克兰安全条约,欧美盟国将协同对俄罗斯进行制裁,让其付出代价。
本周风险事件一是欧元区4月CPI初值,通胀低迷是欧央行面临的首要挑战,市场对欧央行推出QE预期居高不下,若数据意外改善,将有望缓解央行宽松压力,可能刺激欧元上涨并打压美元走弱。
二是美联储利率决议再度来袭,预计FOMC将进一步削减100亿美元QE,延续渐进式的削减步伐,耶伦对利率前景的评论仍是关注焦点。
三是美国4月非农报告将压轴登场,从前期公布初请失业金等就业领先指标来看,美国就业市场在二季度初继续实现加速改善,表现强劲的结果可能为美元提供较强的短期支持,反过来限制金价反弹空间,甚至打压黄金再度转为走弱。
【技术分析】
金价在100日均线获得有效支持,日内进一步反弹修正,关注本日能否上破月移动平均线1306.71的压制,上破可能打开短期反弹空间,破败则重新转为走弱。
【本日关键数据】
意大利4月消费者信心指数
美国3月成屋待完成销售
美国4月达拉斯联储制造业指数
欧洲央行总裁德拉吉在德国政府联盟党派记者会上讲话。副总裁冈斯坦西欧、执委科尔和普雷特也将发表讲话
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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