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现货黄金小幅反弹 等候行情指引

关键字:本日亚盘现货黄金走势

【行情回顾】

4月24日亚市时段,国际现货黄金于4月23日开出阳线十字星后,本日继续开阳,但市场交投仍然偏淡,最高价为1287.01美元/盎司,最低价为1282.95,波幅不足5美元,市场昨夜经历多日的抛售压力后出现沽空回补和避险买盘,但上涨幅度有限,因欠缺利好基本面的有效推动。

【基本面分析】

下月印度将迎来结婚旺季,黄金供应也将增加,5月2日就是佛陀满月节,预期6月后印度黄金进口或将恢复50吨。

另一方面,印度黄金ETF的持仓量持续减少,自去年5月以来,印度国内黄金ETF投资者减少了约18%,近几个月仍然处在净流出状态,因国际金价下跌和印度提高黄金进口关税,使得印度投资者对黄金ETF相当谨慎。在2013至2014财年,印度国内黄金ETF净流出229亿3000万卢比,而前一年则有141亿4000万卢比的净流入。

欧元汇率持续走强,国际资金持续回流欧元区外围国家,使得希腊、葡萄牙等国家国债收益率逐步下降,缩减与核心国家之间的利差,德拉吉言论干预汇率的效果甚微。此前他在4月12日曾警告称,如果欧元继续走强,可能促使欧央行动用诸如购买资产等非常规工具。市场试图从本日欧央行行长德拉吉在荷兰央行举办的会议中发表演讲中寻找更多货币政策走向的细节。

市场静待上周美国初请失业金人数以及耐用品数据公布,在下周美联储召开议息会议前,寻找美国经济状况线索。

【技术分析】

金价持续回落,跌落38.2%斐波扩展位1287.14,下一步指向50%斐波扩展位1273.57。进一步跌落该位置或将测试61.8%斐波扩展1260.01。而如若金价掉头向上突破1287.14,下一步将指向23.6%斐波扩展1303.93。

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