中国经济回稳 现货黄金低位反弹
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
今日公布全球多国的PMI数据，也是在本周数据重点数据。乌俄局势依然剑拔弩张，乌克兰政府周二宣布恢复对东部地区的“反恐”行动，日内瓦停火协议已经名存实亡。英国央行将公布4月9-10日货币政策委员会会议纪录。市场希望从中窥探英国央行未来的货币政策倾向，所以我们预计今天现货黄金交易行情将会较为波动。
【基本面分析】
4月份汇丰中国制造业PMI数据今日公布，数据显示，4月汇丰制造业PMI预览值48.3，与预期一致，扭转此前连续五个月下跌的势头，3月终值为48.0。分析人士表示，跟前值48相比4月PMI数据略有改善，而4月汇丰PMI数据符合预期，显示经济有探底回升的趋势。而中国经济的复苏将会对黄金价格构成支撑。
朝鲜半岛方面，据消息人士称，朝鲜进行第四次核试验可能性很高。韩国情报机构认为，朝鲜如果进行第四次核试验，可能会进行威力比核弹更大的增幅核分裂弹试验，这种试验以在钚或铀周边注入氢气引起核融合反应的方式进行，处于普通核弹与氢弹的中间阶段。该报22日另一篇报道称，在当日举行的2014年度峨山总会“历史的未来”论坛上，与会中日美嘉宾大多认为，“朝鲜继续进行核试验是非常可能的剧情”。乌克兰事件之后，朝鲜问题再次成为地缘政治问题的另一焦点，若果朝鲜真的实行核试验，那么黄金有望再次受到避险买盘的青睐。
【技术分析】
由伦敦金日K线图上看，黄金在5连跌后，最低下探到前期低位1277位置后，收出了带长下影线的阴线，由于该探底位置有相当强的支撑力度，不排除黄金出现单针探底的可能性。同时，100日均线也和1277位置重合，形成较强支撑。因此我们大田贵金属认为，若果黄金能在1277位置出现止跌，黄金则可能会走出经典的双底形态，建议投资者可以在1277位置适当布局多单。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1278 止盈1295 止损1270
做空：开仓1290 止损1301 止盈1277
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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