现货黄金窄幅调整 上行受压
关键字：本日国际现货黄金亚盘行情
【行情回顾】
4月11日亚市早盘，国际金价自凌晨时间受美初请失业金打压后陷入窄幅震荡整理后，早市轻微反弹，最高点触及1320，日内需关注现货黄金行情短线上能否上破现阶段阻力位1320的压制。
【基本面分析】
晚间市场焦点料在晚间出炉的美国4月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值，市场预期该数据由80.0改善至81.0。若数据改善则能令避险资金部分回吐，但若数据不及预期，将令周末前的市场更偏好避险资产，美元虽是避险资产，但疲软美国数据影响市场对美联储QE前景的预期，因而料将承压，而黄金则有望受捧。
QE削减逐渐淡出成为市场焦点，加息已经成为投资者最为关注的风险事件之一，30天联邦基金期货隐含利率 (4月9号结算价) 显示，市场参与者目前预期FOMC首次加息25基点的时间点为2015年9-10月，与纪要公布前相比稍微延后，如果美国经济增速在2014年能保持在3-3.5%上方或通货膨胀率明显回升，则可以预期FOMC会提前进入紧缩周期，否则温和增长 (如GDP增速维持在2-3%) 或通胀持续低迷将倒逼美联储在更长时间内维持零利率政策。
欧洲央行副行长Vitor Constancio周四(4月10日)表示，欧洲央行就可能推行的量化宽松政策的细节还没有任何决定，但可能包括买入民间资产。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价自4月2日起一直呈单边上涨形态，主要受基本面的提振，技术面则受到月度均线打压，视乎多头的进攻力度，显示金价上方正尝试突破1320初次阻力位，MACD出现死叉，但下方买盘动力犹存，5日RSI值54.19呈向上趋势。日内关注阻力位1320能否成功上破，上破则打开上行空间，建议多空均轻仓操作，
多单：1302，目标：1328。
空单：1320，目标：1298。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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