4.10国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
关键字:4.10国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
【行情回顾】
国际现货黄金价格昨日收盘价1311.5美元/盎司,日涨3.2美元,涨幅约0.18%,昨日亚市时段金价逐步向上波动,最高位录得1314.26美元,欧盘时段遭投资者获利回吐打压,录得时段新低1300.44美元,成交趋于平淡,轻微反弹至1305后随着凌晨美联储3月会议纪要发布后金价迅速拉升超10美元,录得纽盘时段新高1314.90美元,本日亚市早盘延续昨夜上涨行情,因黄金的投资吸引力加强。
【基本面分析】
美国联邦储备理事会(美联储/FED)周三公布的3月会议记录显示,美联储决定放弃失业率和通胀率升息门槛,取而代之的是美联储表示将在结束购债相当长一段时间后才会开始升息。
昨日公布的3月会议纪要,耶伦在新闻发布会是所提及的“六个月”表述并为出现在纪要中,另一方面,虽3月份美联储对经济的乐观展望维持2013年年底的一致,然而本次纪要显示了不会官员对于未来几年通胀前景和金融市场的担忧,这被市场认为是有利于放缓货币政策正常化的因素,对市场预期产生了偏鸽的影响。会议发布后,美元走弱,国际金价则上涨约1%,日内呈收涨格局。
美国商务部(Commerce Department)周三公布的数据显示,经季节性因素调整后,美国2月批发库存月率上升0.5%,预期增长0.5%,前值修正为增长0.8%,初值增长0.6%。美国2月批发销售月率增长0.7%,预期增长1.0%,前值修正为下跌1.9%,初值下跌1.8%。
【技术分析】
日线图上,国际现货黄金于4月9日整体开出含上下影线的小阳烛,因全天交易平淡,且盘面受乌俄政局纠纷诱发的避险买需下金价轻微向上反弹,现时金价下方受10日均线1297美元和60日均线1303.89支撑,MACD绿色动能柱接近临界点,后市或形成强势上行空间,本日建议轻仓做多思路,止损1310,目标1325。
【本日关键数据】
中国 3月贸易帐
澳大利亚 3月失业率
美国 初请失业金
英国央行公布利率决议
美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)将公布3月利率会议纪录
欧洲央行公布月度报告
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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