4.7国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
关键字:4.7国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
【行情回顾】
本周现货黄金行情整体呈先抑后扬走势,周中一度触及1277.29美元/盎司的一个多月低位,但随后因投资者回补空头以及周五(4月4日)公布的美国3月非农数据略低于预期而最终收在1300整数关口(200日均线)上方。
【基本面分析】
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)周五(4月4日)公布的周度报告称,上周对冲基金连续第二周减持黄金期货与期权的多头押注,因地缘政治风险放缓,同时有更多证据显示美国经济复苏步伐稳定刺激了抛售。
美国劳工部(DOL)周五(4月4日)公布的数据显示,美国3月非农就业人数增加19.2万人,预期增加20万人,前值为增加17.5万人;美国3月份失业率录得6.7%,预期为6.6%,前值为6.7%。美国劳工部还将2月非农就业人数上修至增加19.7万人。
凯投宏观(Capital Economics)首席美国区经济学家在一份报告中指出,“总体来看,既然与天气有关的经济疲软已经渐渐离我们而去,我们预计非农每月增加幅度将继续接近20万,这将导致失业率逐渐下滑,并允许美联储继续缩减每月资产购买规模。”
【技术面分析】
纽约时段非农数据公布后,金价自1290美元/盎司一线升至1306.58美元/盎司,稍稍差于预期的非农数据以及空头回补行情支撑金价此轮涨势,然而对金价此轮涨势保持谨慎。周五现货黄金早间开盘于1286美元/盎司一线附近,亚盘时段金价小幅测试1283.86美元/盎司,随后反弹,欧美时段一路走高,最高测试1306.58美元/盎司,最终收盘于1303.2美元/盎司,日线收阴一根上影线较长的大阳线,终止了连续半个月以来的震荡下行局面,再度踏上千三关口上方。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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