实物需求下降 现货黄金走弱
关键字:现货黄金走势
【基本面】
纽约黄金期货价格周一收盘下跌0.8%,报每盎司1283.80美元。现货黄金市场今日试图从上周跌势中反弹,但未能成功。本周将有多份重要经济报告公布,预计金价将因此出现波动。按主力合约计算,纽约期金价格在本月下跌了2.9%左右,但本季度上涨6.8%左右。上周纽约金价下跌3%左右,在周五收报于1300美元下方,主要由于美国经济数据表现良好,促使部分投资者从黄金市场转向股市。预计未来金价将会走低,并预测第二季度中的平均金价将为每盎司1180美元。
随着国际金价回落的态势渐明,上海黄金交易所交投人气有所下降,当周金交所全部上市品种成交金额为899.4亿元,较前周环比回落约24%。金交所实物黄金交割量在春节后出现了中枢下移现象,3月份周交割量均低于40吨,不及3月份之前每周平均水平,佐证了一些观察者关于中国实物黄金需求有所放缓的观点。
【技术分析】
上周现货黄金行情走势出现连续下跌,跌破1300美元/盎司关口。目前短线支撑位为1280美元/盎司,阻力位为1300美元/盎司,若金价反弹至1300美元/盎司上方,则有望反弹至1315美元/盎司。白银跟随黄金价格也出现了连续两周的下行走势,短线支撑位为19.60美元/盎司。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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