现货黄金趋势偏空 但需提防修复性反弹
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
美国个人消费支出基本符合市场预期。美国2月个人消费支出月率上涨0.3%，与市场预期持平，另外美国2月个人收入月率上涨0.3%，市场预期增长0.3%。美国3月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值80，低于市场预期80.7。总体上美国经济数据继续改善，这也有利于提振市场信心，股市近期持续在年内高点附近震荡，随着经济数据的继续改善，股市继续走高的可能性较大。
日内堪萨斯联储主席乔治预计美国2014年经济增长2.5%，未来有望加快至3%，美国企业未来薪酬压力可能增加，通胀水平逐渐升值2%的水平。她并且称中国经济增长放缓影响全球经济增速。由“美联储通讯社”之称的记者称如果美国未来加息可能会选择通过联邦基金基准利率与逆回购利率来实现，美联储最早将于明年春季加息。
【技术分析】
从周线图看，上周收略带上下引线的中阴，印证惯性下跌的判断，MACD金叉缩量，金价回归布林上轨与中轨之间，跌破34均线，5周均线走平后向下掉头，布林带收口走平，形态上显示，看跌吞没形态发力奏效，本周需提防修复性反弹，整体趋势依然偏空。
从日线图看，上周五收略带上下引线的小阳，布林带仍向下开口，MACD死叉开始缩量，5、10、20、30均线向下勾头，10日均线向下陆续穿越20、30日均线形成死叉，指标偏空，短线有反弹修复指标的需求。
从4小时图看，金价周五回踩1286得到支撑后连续反弹，布林带收口，MAC金叉运行，5周期均线上穿10周期均线形成金叉，短线反弹需求在加大。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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