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现货黄金价格震荡 日内市场观望情绪浓厚

关键字:现货黄金价格

【基本面】

现货黄金周二(3月25日)纽约时段盘初小幅反弹至1310美元上方,此前金价曾一度触及1305.59美元/盎司的逾五周来低位,因日内欧银官员放出宽松言论打压欧/美走低,同时美国3月谘商会消费者信心指数优于预期,提振美元大幅上扬。

欧洲央行(ECB)管委会委员、德国央行(Bundesbank)行长魏德曼(Jens Weidmann)周二讲话称,为应对欧元强劲升值对通胀前景的影响,实施负利率似乎是相对来说更为合适的措施。在魏德曼讲话之后,欧元/美元快速下行,最低下探至1.3813,将日内涨幅几乎尽数抹去。

美国谘商会(Conference Board)周二(3月25日)发布报告称,美国3月谘商会消费者信心指数为82.3,预期为78.6;2月份指数经修正后为78.3。

在魏德曼的讲话后,美元兑其他主要货币上涨超过0.20%。

继美联储主席耶伦上周暗示2014年秋季彻底结束购债,并在2015年春季首次升息后,日内美联储另一位官员也表示了重返常规货币政策的立场。

 

【技术分析】

日线图,昨日收十字小阳,带动布林带向下开口,附图MACD死叉放量,指标偏空,而日线的十字小阳显示多头开始介入,目前市场观望情绪浓厚,日内操作带来难度,4小时图,昨日回踩下破1307至1305.5后出现快速反抽,收取较长下引线,带动布林带有收口的迹象,附图MACD死叉转金叉放量迹象,5周期均线走平。昨日的走势符合我们对行情的判断,昨日1316的空再次大幅获利,最低跌至1305.5,1307未能有效破位,日内多空拉锯越加激烈,日内行情多看少做,中间点位谨慎做单,不带止损不操作。

 

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