美国经济回稳 现货黄金价格仍处于回落趋势
关键字：现货黄金价格、美国经济
【基本面】
美国3月咨商会消费者信心指数82.3，高于市场预期78.6，创下6年来新高。消费者信心高涨也意味着美国经济前景有望进一步改善，股市未来继续上涨的可能性较大。美国2月新屋销售总数年化44万栋，低于市场预期44.5万栋；2月新屋销售月率下降3.3%，降幅低于市场预期-4.5%。另外美国3月里奇蒙德联储制造业指数-7，上月为-1。美国经济数据总体上表现不错，在年初受寒冷天气影响，经济数据出现下滑后近期有所改善，市场的信心也在提升，这位股市继续刷新高创造了条件。
美联储官员的讲话继续受到市场关注。费城联储行长普罗索称美联储可能会在10月或11月结束QE，在QE结束前关注加息是愚蠢的行动，失业率是一个良好的经济指标但不是唯一，美联储在未来依然会维持高度宽松的货币政策。达拉斯联储行长费舍尔称在确定美国经济复苏前，美联储将会继续维持接近于零的利率，但是警告美联储不需要等太长的时间才收紧货币政策。
【技术分析】
现货黄金4小时图上，中轨压制成功，5MA和10MA均勾头向下，RSI运行平缓，MACD快线向下，空头能量柱放量，目前处于1309至1338区间底部，在受到1309强支撑的支持后，暂时企稳并弱势反弹.因上方均线系统死叉向下发散，后续行情依旧由空头掌控。短周期小时图上，布林带收口，5MA勾头向下，RSI三线粘合运行在正常区域，MACD快慢线走平，空头能量柱小幅缩量，从行情走势以及盘面上给的信息来看，本周初金价则小幅低开1330，目前显然进入震荡环节，因此分析师认为金价还是主要为回落趋势。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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