联储利率决议影响发酵 现货黄金行情短线有望反弹
关键字：联储利率决议、现货黄金行情
【基本面】
联储利率决议的影响继续发酵，市场通过分析联储决议以及主席耶伦的讲话，继续猜测联储的未来蓝图，所有的猜测均是基于对缩减宽松的预期，加之早盘利好的费城联储制造业指数也在不断提醒市场联储的乐观预期，因此今日汇市整体上依然对美元形成提振。
市场总是喜欢将现在的交易建立在各种对未来的预期上，而对未来的预期则建立在各种猜测与细枝末节之上。针对昨晚的利率决议以及主席耶伦的一句“间隔六个月”表态，目前已经出现了三种加息可能，明年春季，明年中期以及明年秋季。而在这些猜测的基础上，市场主流做出了现在卖出一切非美货币的决定，从而带来了已经连续两日的非美货币下跌。这些判断，不太应该说成是预期，预期应该是基于事实的判断。从昨日利率决议能够得出的事实只有一点∶目前美联储没有政策变动。对于未来的政策变动，取决于未来的经济变化，现在去构思时间表，更多的是通过联想的力量，然后用这种联想在推动现在的交易。二加二一定等于四，但是如果无端的认为明年有两个二相加，眼光似乎太过长远了一些。退一步说，即使想象的都成为事实，也不要忽略“时间之锁”的作用。
【技术分析】
昨日欧市盘中再次下滑，最低触及1320一线附近之后触底反弹。从日线上看，早间金价开盘之后小幅反弹，上方短暂受压于30ma附近，5ma继续向下延伸进一步压制价格反弹，附图macd完全放量，在昨日收取一根带上下引线的小阴柱之后，今日价格有望触底反弹.从4小时上看，均线5ma已近走平，均线10ma在1331附近对价格形成短暂压制，附图macd死叉动能不足，早间若有效突破10ma的牵制必定带动下方macd形成金叉，今日短线就有望反弹。
推荐阅读：
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.