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现货黄金行情升势如虹 但提防乏力急回

关键字:现货黄金行情

【基本面】

上周市场继续受到乌克兰危局影响,避险市场如日元、黄金继续推高。国际局势紧张,令人担忧。最新既克里米亚关于入俄公投虽未结束,但结果已有,大部份民众支持入俄,初步假的点票结果已够票数脱乌入俄,欧盟方面亦公开承认了公投结果,但国际方面将会对俄罗斯予以制裁。

本星期除关注以上事件外,还有周二、三美联储的议息会议,美联储主席耶伦将会在其后出席新闻发布会。

【技术分析】

金价目前短线阻力1386,较强阻力看自2012年下降轨阻力1392及FR回调1402,1414,1424,重要顶部阻力为1433,形态保持突破自2012年10月,2013年2、3月的下降轨顶部,是扭转近半年下走形态的重要讯号;目前下方重要支持为4小时MA10,1373及上升轨底部1369,若日内失MA0,1373或会急试1369,破位或试1359,1350区间,若此相信转仓的持份者会逐步增加,重而推使金价下走。目前金价虽然升势如虹,但提防乏力后急回,策略上是在主调轨道顶部逄高造空最为合适,炒反弹的则要等金价回升轨底部后待反弹讯号确认,风险的头寸必须有所规划。

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