3.11国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014年）
关键字：3.11国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014年）
行情回顾：美国2月非农报告高于预期，2月新增就业人数达到17.5万，12月和1月非农新增就业也小幅上修，好于预期的结果一度提振美元快速反弹，但反弹力度相对疲软。ICE美元指数上周五收盘涨幅仅为0.06%，时段内在79.90附近窄幅整理。现货黄金企稳近期高点，白银走势较弱，银价重回200日均线21美元下方。
【行情分析】
SPDR黄金ETF持仓量上周小幅增加1.5吨至805.2吨，2月份持仓量增加10.54吨，是2013年以来长期投资者首度净增持黄金ETF。截止至3月4号CFTC数据显示，黄金非商业期货多头头寸较上周增加0.9%，较上月增加16%，空头头寸较上周下降6.9%，较上月下降32.1%，显示市场对黄金的看空倾向持续降温。净多头占未平仓合约比例进一步改善至29.28%，创2013年4月16号 (黄金在4月中旬迎来历史性暴跌) 以来最高水平。
综合上述两方面分析，大田官网分析师认为市场情绪正在经历微妙的反转，从普遍看跌到逐渐转为中性甚至重新恢复对黄金的信心。总的来说市场情绪仍对黄金构成支持，但在黄金未能有效上破中期阻力1360-1380之前不建议投资者进一步做多。从技术上来看金价走势正面临重要阻力的考验，持续破败可能面临严峻的回落修正风险。
【技术分析】
金价回落在20日均线获得支持，短期仍维持高位震荡，上方强阻力关注1360-1380，必须密切关注能否有效上破，上破则有望进一步测试1400整数字，否则可能转为回落。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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