乌克兰局势缓和 现货黄金走势回吐本周涨幅
关键字:乌克兰局势、现货黄金走势
【行情分析】
由于乌克兰局势有所缓解,昨日金价下跌了约1%。本日金价以1334美元/盎司开后,就维持在这一水平附近窄幅波动。
下跌原因主要是总统普京已经命令演习部队返回基地。克里姆林宫此前表示,位于乌克兰边境地带的军事演习与乌克兰当前的局势无关。这导致了避险情绪降温,全球股市大幅反弹,对金价形成压力。
而除了乌克兰局势,美国白宫昨晚公布财政预算报告也施压黄金,预算报告称美国2014年和2015年的预算赤字都有所降低。此外,2014年美国消费者物价指数(CPI)同比上升1.6%;2014年美国失业率平均为6.9%,2015年为6.4%,2016年为6.0%。
BullionVault数据显示,在零售黄金市场,私人黄金投资者们的买入在经历了连续三个月的下降后,在2月有所回升。其黄金投资者指数在从1月的51.9上升到2月53.5,当指数为50时表明黄金买家和卖家持平。
实物市场方面,印度贸易部长在昨日也称已将放松黄金进口限制的事宜提交给财政部,限制使得印度黄金走私猖獗,并且对其珠宝业带来伤害。短期内金价有机会小作回吐,但本年内1400之目标价位,相信一定能达到。
预计本日金价在1315-1345内行走。
【技术分析】
黄金日线收取一根中阴线,回吐本周涨幅。日线依旧运行于上升通道之中,但布林开始缩口,MA5与MA10于1333附近聚拢,MACD已经形成死叉,RSI走平运行于60下方,单纯从技术面上看,日线有回落需求,但决定黄金近期走势的因素为乌克兰局势以及一系列重磅数据;从4小时来看,MA5下穿MA10之后与MA30粘合,并有望再度形成死叉,布林开始走平,MACD死叉放量,KDJ、RSI均向下发散,4小时呈现明显空头排列;综合来看,大田官网分析师认为周一金价大幅反弹之后,周二金价快速回落,回吐本周涨幅,其走势呈现出慢涨急跌的态势。操作上1340附近做空,止损3个点,目标1336-33-30,下方1330附近做多,止损3个点,目标1333-36-40。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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