美联储修改利率前瞻指引 现货黄金价格上攻后回调
关键字：现货黄金价格
【基本面】
美股在开盘后小幅上涨，但是在美联储会议纪要公布后快速下滑。会议纪要显示由于失业率即将降至6.5%加息门坎，美联储考虑修改利率前瞻指引。另外会议纪要显示1月份会议美联储委员一致同意将每月资产购买规模削减100亿美元，另外还有两位委员称美联储应该在下半年加息。会议纪要表面由于美国经济形势逐渐好转，美联储逐渐退出QE已经是板上钉钉，美联储考虑的或许将会是何时加息，这在短期内或将对股市继续承压。
日内公布的美国1月新屋开工月率下降16%，降幅高于市场预期-4.9%，季调后的美国1月新屋开工降至88万栋。寒冷天气对于美国经济数据的影响逐渐显现。疲软的经济数据也刺激金融机构下调美国经济增长预期。摩根士丹利将美国第一季度经济增长预期由0.9%下调至0.8%，巴克莱将其由2.2%降至1.9%。另外美国劳工部宣布美国1月核心生产者物价指数月率环比增长0.2%，高于市场预期0.1%。
【技术分析】
4小时图上看，目前布林带收口平缓运行，短期均线形成死叉，金价昨日始终受到布林中轨的压制，在尾盘时段报收大阴，下拉伦敦金价跌破MA30至布林下轨附近，附图指标MACD高位死叉持续放量，但是金价持续上攻后连续两日回调仅有20多美金，所以这样的回调也是比较合理的，日内是否继续回调需要重点关注布林带的开口及4小时是否继续连阴，如果金价长时间位于布林下轨震荡，那么日内将是一个窄幅震荡的走势，预计震荡区间1302-1318。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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