黄金现货行情大涨小回 短期走势未变
关键字:黄金现货行情
【基本面】
市场焦点重回基本面。尽管受到寒冬天气影响,近期公布的美国经济数据走软,一度引发经济复苏放缓的担忧,但市场对美国经济复苏总体持乐观看法,对美股也普遍看涨。乐观情绪延续,基本面没有发生根本改变,美股因此也延续涨势。不过金融大鳄―乔治-索罗斯(George Soros)创建基金管理公司在第四季度内已大幅增加了标普500指数ETF的卖权仓位,第四季度增幅较第三季度增加了154%,已从大约4.7亿美元攀升至13亿美元。目前它已经占到所有公布的仓位重的11.13%。第三季度的这种仓位曾经从第二季度的13.54%削减至5.14%,这本身就标志着空头头寸大幅提高。在市场一片看涨的背景下,这种逆向思考的确值得关注。
【行情分析】
金价于上午时间一直都在1315美元徘徊当中,由于前日为美国的假期,金融市场都休市,黄金的交易量从当天开始都稍为下降,主要为获利平仓盘为主,其后贵金属市场都继续观望,希望在今晚的会议记录上有更多的指示。
另外,从中国春节开始,全球最大的黄金基金SPDR都录得较大的买入,其买入超过6万手,价值约1300万美元,意味着市场对黄金的信心改善得非常良好,而近期能看见的是金价都在大涨小回的状态,暂时现货黄金走势都未有改变,相信有机会达到上年下半年的高位1433美元附近。
预期金价会在1300-1348美元行走。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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