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美元全面回落 国际现货黄金市场仍处于熊市

关键字:国际现货黄金

【行情分析】

美国1月工业生产月率意外下降,导致美元全面回落 (除加元外) ,加拿大自身经济也表现不佳,成为表现最弱的货币。美股方面,周五美股全线走高,道琼斯指数收盘上涨0.80%,报于16154.39;纳斯达克收盘上涨0.1%,报于 4244.03;标普500收盘上涨0.50%,报于1838.63。原油价格轻微回落,纽约3月原油期货收盘下跌5美分,报于100.30 美元/桶。

 

【行情分析】

国际现货黄金价格向上突破1300美元/盎司,美国COMEX 4月黄金期货价格连续8个交易日上涨,周五收盘上涨18.50美元,涨幅1.42%,报1318.60美元/盎司,创3个月新高。支持1312,1320,阻力1338,1350。

金价重上1320水平,早市最高1329,气氛大为改善,自耶伦发表听证会言论后,金市大受支持,因为市场解释为美国对加息时间仍有一段长时间,退市预期大致反映完成,加上最近数据开差为主,投资者避险意欲加强。但不要忘记本周会有议息会议,市场待关注减少买债规模步代。另外,市场预料英伦银行在下半年开始加息,欧美经济反复造好势头未改,中长期维持沽售黄金,除非金价走势站隐1400以上,为中国大妈入市价,否则金市仍然处于熊市。短线超买,1338为技术阻力,短在线落市操作为主。

 

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