美股持续增长 现货黄金行情强劲势头不减
关键字：现货黄金行情
【基本面】
回顾昨日的零售数据，1月零售销售月率下滑0.4%，预期持平，前值增长0.2%。此前连续两个月的非农就业数据也差于预期。此前公布的美国1月ISM制造业指数从57降至51.3，12月工厂订单月率从增长1.8%转为下滑1.5%。整个1月以及2月份公布的美国经济数据呈现整体走弱的格局。
不过美股在2月初开始筑底并强势反弹，显示投资者基本面基本面忽视了这些走软的经济数据。从另一角度来说，这些短期的数据并没有改变市场对美国经济以及美股的乐观预期。市场的逻辑依然是风险偏好主导，策略依然是逢低买入，疲弱的经济数据正好为投资者提供了逢低做多的机会。在过去七个交易日内，标普500指数上涨近4%，后市仍将继续反弹。
美国个人投资者协会(American Association of Individual Investors，AAII)最新的信心调查报告显示，投资者看涨情绪近期从27.9%再次飙升至40.15%，创下感恩节以来的最大单周涨幅。与此同时，投资者看跌情绪从36.4%降至37.3%，为去年8月最后一周以来的最大单周跌势。由于美股仍处于牛市行情中，预计对利好消息的敏感度仍将远好于利空消息。在没有重大利空的背景下涨势将得到延续。
【技术分析】
现货黄金上周在美数据作用下继续发力，在冲破三千关口之后势头仍然不减，上周周线收取一根无头实体大阳柱，在boll中轨开启的涨势，在冲破30ma的压制之后势头不减，本周有望冲击周线boll上轨在1349附近的阻力.从日线上看，价格依托5ma已经6连阳，目前均线齐头向上，早间价格站稳boll上轨受此依托继续上行，附图macd金叉继续放量，本周涨势还将延续.从4小时上看走势与日线图有所相似，价格依托均线上行，附图macd金叉继续放量，盘面上目前看不到回落迹象，所以在操作上还是以回调做多为主。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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