美元全面下跌 黄金现货行情偏多
关键字：美元行情、黄金现货行情
【基本面】
非美货币时段内强势的原因可能出于两点。一是美国经济数据，虽然商业库存数据好于预期，不过稍早公布的销售数据却大幅差于预期，美国1月零售销售月率下降了0.4%，弱于上月的增长0.2%，延续了近期美国经济数据疲软的态势，数据公布后非美货币的涨势有所扩大；二是市场情绪的继续好转，时段内美股在早盘小幅回落后便持续反弹，纳斯达克上破了此前的高点，确认涨势延续，市场风险偏好继续上升，风险货币受到追捧，促进了欧系货币与商品货币的涨势，美元/日元汇价也收复了部分跌势。
对于澳元的日内跌势，应该更多地倾向于获利回吐之后的修正，无论今日的数据好坏，都不能单纯的像过去近一年以来当做逢高做空的机会，在过去的一到两个月中，经济数据，纽储行，澳储行以及市场情绪等各方面的表现，都推动一个更加中立的交易观点，即使不能逢低买入，但至少不能激进的做空，在目前的走势中，买入做多的风险与做空的风险几乎相当，也许市场再度下跌，做空情绪高涨，就更令人高兴了。
【技术分析】
1302是昨日高点，在1302突破，那么今日是走的黄金分割线的延展线区域，属于多头，那么今日回调位置1302-03一线就有支撑。同时短期多空线21日均线处于1302一带支撑。黄金自1290以来，行情并未跌破此区域。下方1298.6是属于黄金分割76.4位置。加上这里有40日均线支撑。多重支撑形成点带组合区域。所以做空今天并不合适。低多为主。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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