美国经济复苏 现货黄金市场震荡
关键字：现货黄金市场、美国经济
【基本面】
亚市中国海关周三公布的数据显示，2014年1月中国出口同比增长10.6%，进口同比增长10.0%。市场预期中值分别为增长2%和3%。1月贸易顺差318.6亿美元，高于市场预期的236.5亿美元；其中中美增长8.8%。与东盟增长11.3%，与中日双边贸易总值也增长7.8%，一定程度上也反映了欧美经济的复苏带动国际贸易的增长，利好欧美股市。
随着美国经济的复苏，市场依然普遍看好美股2014年的上涨前景。隔夜耶伦表示如果证实了经济前景，美联储可能会继续按照有序的速度缩减量化宽松(QE)政策。乏善可陈的政策公布后美股全线收高1%以上。
【技术分析】
现货黄金价格在接连上破后技术上已经打开短期上行空间，均线也逐渐转为多头排列，目前上方关注1300整数位和1306附近阻力，现货黄金若能有效上破强阻力位区间1306，则更上方目标位可看至1335-1350乃至冲击1400；日内交易可以参与短空单，来做修正回调行情！上方阻力在1295/1302，下方关注支撑1276。4小时方面，附图指标MACD金叉能量衰减殆尽，KDJ聚合于80下方，RSI于60上方聚合，4小时整体呈现震荡偏强走势，但短期有指标修复需求；小时图技术指标方面，MACD主线和信号线已经运行在零轴上方，这说明价格趋势偏多。相对强弱指标RSI位于50均衡位置上方，说明价格力度偏多。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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