美联储官员现鸽派言论 黄金白银现货走势继续涨
关键字:美联储官员、黄金现货走势、白银现货走势
黄金昨收1274.3美元每盎司,日涨7.6美元,今日早盘继续上涨。白银昨收20.050美元每盎司,日涨0.050美元,今日早盘继续上涨。
上周五,不及预期的非农为伦敦金行情提供了进一步的上涨动能,不过此番事件性的走势较为温和。12月及1月的非农数据内包含不小的天气因素,增加了其反映宏观经济的模糊度,也令市场出现一定程度的犹豫。
在市场不确定数据是不是真的那么糟糕的时候,联储官员的看法自然就成了权威与焦点。虽然“联储之鹰”费舍尔依然坚定地认为即便一两次数据不及预期,但削减势在必行,可是昨晚波士顿联储主席罗森格伦已经开始松口,表示不介意美联储放缓削减的脚步。 联储官员的表现从1月份一致地坚定到现在部分委员对削减态度开始暧昧,似乎美联储货币政策前景有了一些转变的味道。非农报告发布后,联储官员陆续出面讲话,而这其中的重头戏自然是今晚的耶伦听证会。虽然在国会听证会中,耶伦不大可能像议息会议新闻发布会那样阐述前瞻指引,但极有可能遭到质询而就目前的就业市场置评,特别是近两期的非农报告,这将是全球投机交易者所关注的重点内容。
另一方面,新官上任,耶伦是不是会开始“三把火”,也是本次听证会的一大要点,在听证会中很可能出现针对前瞻指引、调控工具以及美联储在宏观经济中所扮演的角色等问题的评论。耶伦任期的美联储将是什么样子,我们将从此类证词中找到重要的线索。
时值金融市场密切关注重点发言之际,技术上金价走势亦迈向了重要点位。介于1月27日的前期高点1279.1十分接近2013下半年跌势的38.2%斐波回挡位1277.3,我们有理由相信这一区域存在较明显的阻力。今日早盘现货黄金已突破该水平,因此在耶伦发言后,日线能否收于1279.1上方将十分关键。如成功企稳,则金价有望瞄准1294、1326、1361的上方目标,如回落至1277.3下方,则未来或面临1238—1277的区间盘整。
黄金现报1282.7美元每盎司,早盘上涨8.4美元;白银现报20.172美元每盎司,早盘上涨0.122美元。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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