黄金现货行情将打破压力 出现明显走势
关键字:黄金现货行情、黄金现货走势
【基本面】
近期英国数据也喜忧参半,并没有为英镑走势带来很好的提振,英镑延续高位盘整走势。今晚将有美国1月非农就业报告,尽管前值就业人数至增加7.4万令人大跌眼镜,此次非农能否维持强势或上修前值,将是市场关心的重点。该数据同时也是耶伦担任美联储主席接收到的第一份就业数据,连同下个月的非农报告将影响美联储3月是否按计划步伐缩减QE的决议。尽管美国圣诞假期已过,但美国一月份部分地区仍受暴风雪天气影响,建筑业及运输业无疑是受影响最大的行业,而周三ADP就业数据以及周四美国每周初请数据均不及如期,非农报告能否给市场带来惊喜仍是个未知数。
中国1月汇丰服务业PMI降至50.7,为2011年8月以来为近两年半最慢扩张速度,前值50.9。汇丰大中华区首席经济学家屈宏斌分析称,1月服务业扩张步代放慢,缘于制造业增长放缓以及中国抑制政府消费的举措。不过经济活动总体平稳,且中国致力于通过改革扩大服务业开放,预计未来几个月服务业增长会有所改善。
【技术分析】
目前的行情受到上周周线大阴线压制明显,尽管行情两次上冲最后结果均回落至1260下方,且形态上连续的长上影就使得市场空头压力加大,如果今日非农再无表现的话,那么一鼓作气,再而衰,三而竭的过程将展现,也就是说今日行情必须要有一个结果,不破压力,那么黄金现货行情将终止本轮上涨节奏,开始再度回落过程。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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