美国贸易赤字扩大 黄金现货价格大涨
关键字：美国贸易赤字、黄金现货价格
【基本面】
美国上周初请失业金人数下降2万至33.1万，好于市场预期，初请四周均值小幅下降0.025万至33.4万。美国12月出口减少2.2%至1913亿美元，同期出口增加1.6%至2300亿美元，拖累12月贸易赤字意外扩大至387亿美元，远高于市场预期赤字360亿。净出口是GDP的重要组成部分，表现糟糕的数据令美国四季度GDP存在向下修正的风险。日内数据并未显著影响市场，欧洲两大央行决议结果也缺乏惊喜，美元和商品市场暂时仍缺乏明确的短期方向，需等待周五美国非农报告提供进一步指引。
【技术分析】
从日线图来看，现货黄金行情依旧维持再布林中轨上方运行，MA30与MA5形成支撑位，布林缩口走平，MACD附图指标形成死叉，绿色动能放量，KDJ、RSI三线重合形成死叉；从4小时看，日内布林中轨支撑依旧强劲，MA5上穿与MA10、MA60上方，布林中轨上方MA10与MA60交叉粘合，MA30横穿布林中轨下方与MA120（1250）拉拢，下方形成双重支撑，布林缩口逐渐变窄，MACD附图指标衰弱，RSI聚合指于50附近；从1小时看，均线全走于布林中轨下方形成支撑，布林缩口由昨晚变窄后拉平，RSI三线勾头聚合向下；在操作上，建议高沽低渣，非农数据公布前轻仓操作，带好止损止盈。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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