国际黄金现货早盘大涨 现受阻回落
关键字：国际黄金现货
【基本面】
昨日，土耳其央行如市场预期的加息决定以及南非试图通过提高回购利率来抵御市场动荡的尝试都导致投资者对新兴市场担忧情绪的加剧，美股主要指数的快速下跌也促使投资者继续在黄金等安全资产中规避风险；此外，美联储即将在金属市场的场内交易结束后公布最新的货币政策决策声明，主力黄金合约报价在这之前收高在每盎司1262.20美元。美联储在金属市场的场内交易结束后公布最新的货币政策决策声明，如市场预期将每个月的资产采购项目规模缩减至650亿美元。联储在周三的决策声明中完全没有提及过去几周中全球金融市场 的动荡。美联储1月份维持利率在0-0.25%不变，并以10∶0投票比例通过继续缩减购债规模100亿美元，这是2011年6月份以来首次出现没有反对意见的情况。美联储官员认为美国经济表现喜忧参半，称近期数据显示经济活动增长加速，但劳动力市场指数表现不一，同时指出住房市场复苏速度“有所放缓”。 纽储行1月份维持利率在2.5%不变，表示会在未来有必要的情况下再考虑通过加息来收紧货币政策措施。表示利率需要回到更常规的水平，预计很快会开始利率调整，加息的幅度与速度取决于未来的经济数据。假若美国开启加息，相信届时会大量热钱将再度涌入贵金属市场。
【行情分析】
亚洲股市延续周三美股的跌势，这有望对黄金形成支持。不过现货黄金在经过早盘的大涨后，在亚洲早盘却出现回落修正的走势。黄金现货从时段高点1267已经回落至1261.89。从技术面来看，日图上行受阻前高，短期内有可能向下修正，但只有能守住20日均线，短期上行趋势就维持良好。从基本面来看，短期内股市大跌引发的避险情绪仍有望再次为黄金提供支持，因此后市需要关注新兴市场的进展，美联储退市已经引发了市场对新兴市场货币将贬值的担忧。近几天已经有3家新兴国家的央行采取加息措施，本周五墨西哥和哥伦比亚即将召开利率会议，下周四菲律宾将召开利率会议，关注这些央行是否继续会采取紧张措施。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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