1.28国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
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【行情分析】
上周新兴市场和欧美股市暴跌引发的避险需求以及有关印度将放宽黄金进口限制的消息为金银价格提供一些支持,推动金价自1230美元/盎司升至1270美元上方,创出三周新高。白银价格表现滞后,未能触及近期区间顶部20.50美元。今日金价冲高至去年11月18日以来的最高水平1279.10美元,之后迅速转跌,最低触及1258.51美元。银价则重回20美元下方,反弹动能疲弱。
尽管亚太新兴市场继续遭到抛售,但欧洲股市和美股期货自低位反弹,时段内避险情绪并没有进一步恶化,引发短期的金银多头结利。尽管避险需求和实物买盘需求短期仍将为金价提供支持,但随着周三美联储利率决议的到来,投资者料保持谨慎,金银涨势料受到限制。从过去一年的行情来看,黄金的避险属性并没有十分强烈,因此短中期走势对美元以及美联储的政策预期依然是最为敏感的。因此即使避险情绪延续,恐怕也难以为金银价格提供进一步支撑。
【技术分析】
黄金相对强劲,价格站稳于1260美元以及前下行趋势线上方,上方趋势依然完好,但100日均线1278.81美元抑制价格进一步反弹,20周均线位于1272.60美元,价格需站上该线才能打开进一步上涨空间。下方支持关注1250美元,若跌破,则短期空头将再次主导市场。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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