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非农疲软继续发酵 黄金现货行情偏强

关键字:黄金现货行情

【基本面】

上周五公布的美国12月非农就业数据异常疲弱,令整体金融市场都感到诧异,对美国经济增长前景的质疑声音再次浮现;不过从今天的市场反应来看,投资者并没有陷入进一步恐慌∶极端严寒的天气、之前总体表现较好的数据流等等,都在提醒投资者保持镇定。不过,从短期来看,市场情绪的稳定可能很脆弱∶若本周公布的美国零售、商业库存、初请、工业生产以及CPI、PPI等数据疲弱,市场情绪可能进一步恶化,日元反弹、美元走低或将继续;若上述数据均表现较好,则有助于市场情绪继续保持镇定,投资者焦点可能转向一系列美联储官员的讲话上,其中北京时间周三凌晨的普罗索、费舍尔讲话以及周五凌晨的伯南克讲话最值得关注,普罗索与费舍尔将在1月份会议上拥有投票权,而伯南克本周讲话可能是其在任内的最后一次公开演讲。

 

【技术分析】

隔日现货黄金整体在1240-1255区间整理,早间亚盘冲高1255后承压回落最低测试1243一线再度反弹,最终收线于1253,日线收线一根带上下影的小阳,日线连阳,大田金业分析师表示伴随非农数据报差使得金价拉升,布林上轨向上打开,短期承压于MA60-1260位置,MA5/MA10上穿MA20/MA30后形成金叉放量,附图MACD低位金叉运行,RIS走平后开始向上发散,日线整体走势偏强。

 

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