国际黄金现货走势反弹 将进一步上扬
关键字：国际黄金现货
【基本面】
备受瞩目的美国非农就业人数结果令人大跌眼镜。12月非农就业人数仅增长了7.4万，创下2011年1月以来的最低增幅，远低于预期的19.7万，前值从20.3万修正至24.1万。由于就业参与率从63%降至62.8%，创下1978年以来新低，导致12月失业率从7.0%进一步降至6.7%。其中私营部门就业人数仅增加8.7万，因糟糕的天气，导致27.3万人失业，为1977年以来最高；制造业部门就业增长0.9万，政府部门就业减少1.3万。数据公布后10年期、30年期美债收益率降至12月23日来最低。
意外疲软的数据令市场对美国经济乐观的预期消散，也令美联储的以失业率为加息门坎的前瞻性指引面临考验。随着就业参与率的进一步下降，失业率可能将进一步下降。不过这并不能真实反映美国就业市场的情况，也提升了市场对美联储将采取进一步措施或放缓削减QE速度的预期。从这个角度来说应该是利好美股的。
【行情分析】
上周五在美国方面令人失望的非农数据之后，现货黄金强劲反弹走高，到周一亚市金价进一步上扬，现已经突破至1250美元/盎司上方，暂时报于1251美元/盎司附近。就日图来看，如上周五非农数据前就提到的，日图上技术看涨，而当前随着汇价收复了1250美元/盎司的阻力，看涨势头无疑得到了进一步确认，大田金业分析师预计下一阻力位置将关注自8月高点开始的下行趋势线所在1270附近，一旦再度上破该水平，就有望指向1300关口。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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