近期经济数据佳 料非农将利空黄金现货价格
关键字：黄金现货价格
【基本面】
近期公布的各项经济数据均有不错的表现。昨日公布的美国ADP私营部门就业人数增加23.8万，表明美国就业市场继续强势复苏。此前公布的美国11月贸易赤字缩窄至400亿美元下方，能源制品的出口促进缓解美国贸易逆差压力，另外对中国的出口创下历史新高。目前市场普遍预期第四季度美国经济有望增长3.0%。耶伦日内表示希望美国GDP增幅超过3%。美国经济的加快复苏推动市场对股市的信心水涨船高，我们此前提到美国个人投资者对美股的看涨信心创下多年高位。这一定程度上反应了良好的宏观基本面背景下的投机狂热。
但当市场看涨情绪达到极致水平时，可能就需要警惕回调风险了。预计股市短期走势可能将在美国非农就业数据后明朗化。
【技术分析】
昨日金价波动甚小，本周三金价继续回落刺破布林中轨道支撑，昨日市场观望气息较为浓重，昨日金价企稳布林中轨道支撑，日内继续在中轨道位置之上徘徊于1227附近，周线上MA5和MA10构成的区间在1224-1242。KDJ和RSI指标处于观望阶段，现货黄金在中轨道支撑在1224附近，目前收到均线MA5的压制，MACD等附图指标表现为反弹趋势；4小时看，金价正在试图突破布林中轨阻力，但是预计短线仍旧是会受阻，MACD指标在零轴上方即将金叉开始扩散，非农预期是利空白银，但是市场上卖预期买事实的事情常有发生；早间金价多头反弹趋势强劲，上方关注阻力位置1233和1240附近。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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