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现货黄金行情震荡 关注非农数据

关键字:现货黄金行情

【基本面】

美国12月ISM非制造业指数差于市场预期,市场预期由上月53.9升至54.4,而实际降至53.0,数据公布后,非美货币快速反弹,不过随后的时段内,再度出现回落,日内震荡走势未能有所改观。

回顾近期的市场走势,受到假期的影响非常明显,市场有一种令人感觉慵懒的气氛,缺乏明确的焦点。在12月利率决议以后,汇市实际上一直是震荡走势,或者是缺乏导火索的快速波动。

本周将公布美国非农就业数据,周四也有欧央行,英央行利率决议,不过目前市场似乎没有统一的预期,甚至没有感到重要经济事件之前的气氛,这也许只能解释为市场还没有从假期的沉醉中苏醒过来。

 

【技术分析】

越来越临近非农数据及本周其他重要数据的公布,金价再继续铤而走险就不是看点和买点了,分析师较看好接下来的几天到非农之前市场处于震荡修复周期,恢复平静比较符合超级周特点,从4小时图看,金价在昨日晚间暴跌后收取一根上下影线的十字阳线,附图指标MACD金叉逐渐缩量。上方短期均线M5、M10交叉压制金价,关注1250-1239.日线看,金价在市场大量抛售的情况下也没有突破10日均线的支撑,下方5日和30日均线以及布林中轨交叉重叠,关注区间:1223-1216。日内操作上,保持区间内的高沽低渣即可。

 

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