国际黄金现货轻微波动 建议暂时观望
关键字：国际黄金现货
【行情分析】
本月减码之前，市场的统计是指25%的专家预期本月会减码，结果爆出一个小冷门。但因为 减码规模细小，只是减少买债100亿美元而己，好淡消息相互扺消，金价及美汇出现牛皮状况。美股在减码日出现大阳烛后即连创新高，但美汇指数在减码日后又出现调整，金价出现大阴烛后则轻微反弹。究其原因，是因为减码规模太小，未能使金价深跌，所以无法出现大幅反弹。预期明年会再有多次之减码行动。按过往经验将在联储局例会前两周便会开始炒作。若减码规模大，伦敦金价格会急跌后反弹；若是小规模，将会有如本次那样跌后在低位徘徊，不上不下。元旦前没有特别数据公 布，但假后则十分之热闹。假期预料牛皮，但由于政治局势不稳，还是减磅或锁仓更佳。因为苏丹、 北韩、尼日利亚、叙利亚等等地区都有隐忧，都是重要之市场变量。
【技术分析】
黄金继续沉浸在节日气氛中，维持着轻微的波幅。小时图显示，金价本周开盘即展开了弱势反弹，短线走势的低点不断抬高，并且再次站上了1200。而技术分析看，四小时图显示，布尔带中轨转为倾向上行，且RSI指标短暂突破50水平。因此从小时图和四小时图看金价短线趋于企稳。操作上由于金价已经触及了空头1205的止损，且短线有企稳迹象，故大田金业分析师建议投资者暂时观望。
潜在阻力：12月4日和6日低点附近1211、日图布尔带中轨1227。
潜在支撑：布尔带下轨1188、整数关口1200。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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