美联储减码升温 现货黄金走势疲弱
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
昨日美国国会方面达成了关键性的预算协议，避免政府在2014年1月15日重陷债务危机。消息的传出令多个资本市场出现了退潮：S&P 500与道琼斯工业平均指数同步下跌，美国国债收益率则显著上涨（债券价格下跌）；美元与日元则相应得到了提振。美国政府预算问题的明朗化令美联储有了更多退出QE的理由，并有相当大的可能在本月17日—18日议息会议上就开始削减QE。从目前来看，市场似乎仍在担忧伴随着美联储购债规模的减小，市场流动性将会有所收紧。因此，本月17日—18日议息会议仍将是外汇市场以及其它各资本市场所追踪的焦点。不过美联储是否会为了对冲退出QE对金融市场的不利影响而出台新的宽松手段目前未可知，届时亦值得关注。今晨，主要风险事件围绕纽储行利率决议及澳大利亚就业报告。
【行情分析】
美国两党就预算协议达成一致，只差投票表决，市场对美联储年内缩减QE预期再度升温。欧元由于短期利率攀升受到提振，连续7日收涨。纽储行透露2014年加息计划提振纽元今日亚盘止跌反弹，澳元则在就业报告公布之前回调走软。世界范围内股市的收跌推升日圆需求。黄金现货受到拖累昨日小幅收跌。
从技术分析上看，日线图上除去10日均线的多日均线齐头向下。日内阻力位考虑1267.71而下方支撑位分别落于1246以及1242附近。
建议可在1255沽货止赚1246止蚀1258。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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