黄金现货刷新日内高点 走势依旧偏空
关键字：黄金现货走势
【基本面】
在11月份非农就业数据大幅好于市场预期后，市场开始猜测美联储何时退出QE。圣路易斯联储委员布拉德称近期劳动力市场的结果似乎表明未来数月劳动力市场将继续改善，美联储削减QE的可能性在增加。另外一位委员费舍尔也表示削减QE规模应该尽早进行。利好经济数据逐渐对美联储继续每月850亿美元购买债券形成压力，12月份美联储利率决议美联储如何行动将成为焦点，短期内股市可能会承受美联储削减QE的压力出现回调。
日内美国没有经济数据公布，中国11月份CPI低于市场预期，中国股市小幅上涨。另外美国正在进行预算谈判，市场对于两党达成协议表示乐观，这或会会为股市带来意外惊喜。
【技术分析】
上周五美国公布的非农数据强劲，11月新增非农就业20.3万，失业率降至了5年来的最低水平7.0%，然而黄金没有如预期中的遭遇重挫，而是表现为过山车似的振荡并录得上涨。不过无论基本面还是技术分析黄金前景依旧偏空，基本面美国经济数据特别是就业数据持续改善使得削减QE的预期升温，这是始终悬在金价头上的一把利剑。
技术面看，周图显示上周黄金继续录得周跌幅，布林带趋于再次扩张且布林带中轨由走平转为了轻微的下行趋势，这些都是趋势线看跌的信号，因此技术上还将以逢高做空策略为上，而日图布林带中轨1250预期将是重要阻力。本周最应关注的是美联储多位官员的讲话，由于下周将迎来美联储利率决议，官员的讲话可能提前为利率决议定调。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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